plotting out the Global War
Posted: Mon Apr 23, 2018 12:38 am
well, since it seems unlikely that HG will ever give us offical details on this timeperiod, and with the RPG gone OOP there isn't much chance of an RPG book on it, i guess we have to sort it out on our own.
the Global War [sup][1][/sup] ended in 1999 with the crash of an alien starship in the Bonin islands [sup][2][/sup] in the north pacific. after that event the superpowers of the world, faced with the potential of an extraterrestrial threat, called a cease fire. and would, 6 years later, form a unified world government.
[1] it is always referred to as "global war" in the show, and the comics.. so the 1st ed "global civil war" nonsense should end. can't have a civil war if the world hasn't been unified yet
[2] i'm assuming that Macross island in robotech is located in the same location as South Ataria Island is in the original SDF:macross series.
the show itself gives us relatively little beyond that to work with, beyond a few images. video here from Ep1: Boobytrap
here are the images in question:
Image 1: comanchero helicopters attacking an urban area
Image 2: Middle Eastern(?) combat
Image 3: troops in urban warzone
Image 4: Infantry being attacked by what looks like energy weapon beams
the wildstorm comics did manage to add a few details that hint at the geopolitical aspects.. in the first full issue of from the Stars we see Gloval, then a submarine captain wit hthe Russian navy, commanding an Oscar class SSGN, the Minsk. and he is being hunted by an American carrier group, led by the U.S.S. Kenosha, commanded by Admiral Hayes. the Kenosha is hunting the minsk because they had been given intel that the Russians had sold the sub to "a foreign power", something Gloval apparently has heard as well, which he states is ridculous because they'd never sell one of their "most prized vessels" to someone that might use them against russia. Gloval's speech also states that Russia's forces are stretched thin trying to deal with the "many conflicts that have erupted around the world"
this indicates that not only are Russia and the US not currently at war, but that the group that america is at war with, or perhaps close to being at war with, is one that has a mixed relationship with russia.. one close enough that the russians selling a large potentially nuclear armed SSGN to would be plausible, but bad enough that the russians would be concerned that they'd turn on them. i have my own thoughts on that one, but i'll cover that later.
it also establishes that it was not a single conflict.. it wasn't WW3 basically. it was instead a large number of smaller conflicts, which the major nations found themselves involved in.
looking at the 1990's, there are certainly plenty of real world conflicts that could be included..
the 1st Congo war between 1996-and 97 and its follow up 2nd Congo war in 1998 (which IRL ran to 2003, which means it liekly would have been effected by the SDF-1 crash)
Gulf War 1 in 1990 (which could easily have taken longer than IRL, had there been a push to take Iraq rather than leave it intact.. even if the events played out as IRL, a 2nd gulf war might not have waited to 2003 in the robotech timeline)
the 1st Chechen war in 1994-1996
the Kosovo war/Balkans conflict of 1998-1999
The Yugoslav wars (1991-1995) as yugoslavia broke up. this included the Bosnian conflict of 92-95.
The Somali Civil war (started 1991, still not resolved IRL.) UN and US intervention started in 1992, and IRL withdrew in 1995.
Potential conflicts included;
the taliban seizure of Afghanistan in 1996
unrest in Algeria after the cancellation of democratic elections (1991-2002 RL) over concern that radical islamist movements had a chance of being elected to government.
the general breakup of the former soviet union, as Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan declare independence.
the ever present threat of warfare between Israel and its neighbors.
the Rwandan Genocide in 1994, when the Rwandan government attempted to wipe out the Tutsi tribal group probably should have created one IRL.. the UN and major world powers drew a lot of flak over the fact that no one stepped in to try and stop it. IRL about a million people were killed (Tutsi, as well as Batwa Pygmy's, comprising about 70% and 30% their total populations, respectively) and it only ended after a Tutsi backed Rwandan patriotic Front deposed the government after a very brutal civil war. (said civil war had been going since 1990, and the genocides were the "final solution" of the predominately Hutu tribal group controlled government to the issue of the Tutsi backed RPF.. the logic apparently being that if the Tutsi don't exist anymore, there would be no more RPF)
and perhaps, the rise of Maoist hardliners in china following Tienanmen square. which IRL ended when Deng Xiaoping and later Jiang Zemin pushed for economic and political reforms over that decade. something that started very tenuously and could easily have failed, which would have resulted in a china that was more militaristic and likely more expansionist (to bolster a failing economy and distract their populace)
i suspect that China is the "foreign power" that the sub was supposed to have been sold too.. even i nthe early 90's, when they were near pariahs even in russia, the two nations were close enough that china could obtain military hardware, but relations were rocky enough (between the political unrest in china and economic issues) that a war between the two seemed plausible (especially since it had happened before, within memory of the governments involved.)
this suggests that the US was either at war with, or had really high tensions with, china in 1999, where the addition of an Oscar SSGN to the chinese navy would have been a really bad scenario. That the carrier group was not attempting to confirm the sub wasn't russian suggests that "at war with" is probably closer to the truth.. sinking a russian sub would be a major incident, and the carrier group wasn't just trying to track the sub, i was trying to sink it.
what is interesting is that we see fighters with marking identical to those of the later Anti-Unification League attacking one of the Kenosha's ASW helicopters. when F-203's from the Kenosha catch up with the bogies the fighters (the MiM-31 Karyovin) are not recognized by Fokker or the other US pilots, nor are the markings recognized. the fighter type and the markings get brought up as AUL in later issues. this attack also saw Admiral hayes switch from a cautious strategy regarding the russian sub to ordering an ASW group out to kill it right away.
that what would later be called the AUL was active during the global wars is interesting, as is the fact that their attack seems to have been aimed at sparking an incident between the US and russia by getting the americans to sink the Minsk.
the Global War [sup][1][/sup] ended in 1999 with the crash of an alien starship in the Bonin islands [sup][2][/sup] in the north pacific. after that event the superpowers of the world, faced with the potential of an extraterrestrial threat, called a cease fire. and would, 6 years later, form a unified world government.
[1] it is always referred to as "global war" in the show, and the comics.. so the 1st ed "global civil war" nonsense should end. can't have a civil war if the world hasn't been unified yet
[2] i'm assuming that Macross island in robotech is located in the same location as South Ataria Island is in the original SDF:macross series.
the show itself gives us relatively little beyond that to work with, beyond a few images. video here from Ep1: Boobytrap
here are the images in question:
Image 1: comanchero helicopters attacking an urban area
Image 2: Middle Eastern(?) combat
Image 3: troops in urban warzone
Image 4: Infantry being attacked by what looks like energy weapon beams
the wildstorm comics did manage to add a few details that hint at the geopolitical aspects.. in the first full issue of from the Stars we see Gloval, then a submarine captain wit hthe Russian navy, commanding an Oscar class SSGN, the Minsk. and he is being hunted by an American carrier group, led by the U.S.S. Kenosha, commanded by Admiral Hayes. the Kenosha is hunting the minsk because they had been given intel that the Russians had sold the sub to "a foreign power", something Gloval apparently has heard as well, which he states is ridculous because they'd never sell one of their "most prized vessels" to someone that might use them against russia. Gloval's speech also states that Russia's forces are stretched thin trying to deal with the "many conflicts that have erupted around the world"
this indicates that not only are Russia and the US not currently at war, but that the group that america is at war with, or perhaps close to being at war with, is one that has a mixed relationship with russia.. one close enough that the russians selling a large potentially nuclear armed SSGN to would be plausible, but bad enough that the russians would be concerned that they'd turn on them. i have my own thoughts on that one, but i'll cover that later.
it also establishes that it was not a single conflict.. it wasn't WW3 basically. it was instead a large number of smaller conflicts, which the major nations found themselves involved in.
looking at the 1990's, there are certainly plenty of real world conflicts that could be included..
the 1st Congo war between 1996-and 97 and its follow up 2nd Congo war in 1998 (which IRL ran to 2003, which means it liekly would have been effected by the SDF-1 crash)
Gulf War 1 in 1990 (which could easily have taken longer than IRL, had there been a push to take Iraq rather than leave it intact.. even if the events played out as IRL, a 2nd gulf war might not have waited to 2003 in the robotech timeline)
the 1st Chechen war in 1994-1996
the Kosovo war/Balkans conflict of 1998-1999
The Yugoslav wars (1991-1995) as yugoslavia broke up. this included the Bosnian conflict of 92-95.
The Somali Civil war (started 1991, still not resolved IRL.) UN and US intervention started in 1992, and IRL withdrew in 1995.
Potential conflicts included;
the taliban seizure of Afghanistan in 1996
unrest in Algeria after the cancellation of democratic elections (1991-2002 RL) over concern that radical islamist movements had a chance of being elected to government.
the general breakup of the former soviet union, as Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan declare independence.
the ever present threat of warfare between Israel and its neighbors.
the Rwandan Genocide in 1994, when the Rwandan government attempted to wipe out the Tutsi tribal group probably should have created one IRL.. the UN and major world powers drew a lot of flak over the fact that no one stepped in to try and stop it. IRL about a million people were killed (Tutsi, as well as Batwa Pygmy's, comprising about 70% and 30% their total populations, respectively) and it only ended after a Tutsi backed Rwandan patriotic Front deposed the government after a very brutal civil war. (said civil war had been going since 1990, and the genocides were the "final solution" of the predominately Hutu tribal group controlled government to the issue of the Tutsi backed RPF.. the logic apparently being that if the Tutsi don't exist anymore, there would be no more RPF)
and perhaps, the rise of Maoist hardliners in china following Tienanmen square. which IRL ended when Deng Xiaoping and later Jiang Zemin pushed for economic and political reforms over that decade. something that started very tenuously and could easily have failed, which would have resulted in a china that was more militaristic and likely more expansionist (to bolster a failing economy and distract their populace)
i suspect that China is the "foreign power" that the sub was supposed to have been sold too.. even i nthe early 90's, when they were near pariahs even in russia, the two nations were close enough that china could obtain military hardware, but relations were rocky enough (between the political unrest in china and economic issues) that a war between the two seemed plausible (especially since it had happened before, within memory of the governments involved.)
this suggests that the US was either at war with, or had really high tensions with, china in 1999, where the addition of an Oscar SSGN to the chinese navy would have been a really bad scenario. That the carrier group was not attempting to confirm the sub wasn't russian suggests that "at war with" is probably closer to the truth.. sinking a russian sub would be a major incident, and the carrier group wasn't just trying to track the sub, i was trying to sink it.
what is interesting is that we see fighters with marking identical to those of the later Anti-Unification League attacking one of the Kenosha's ASW helicopters. when F-203's from the Kenosha catch up with the bogies the fighters (the MiM-31 Karyovin) are not recognized by Fokker or the other US pilots, nor are the markings recognized. the fighter type and the markings get brought up as AUL in later issues. this attack also saw Admiral hayes switch from a cautious strategy regarding the russian sub to ordering an ASW group out to kill it right away.
that what would later be called the AUL was active during the global wars is interesting, as is the fact that their attack seems to have been aimed at sparking an incident between the US and russia by getting the americans to sink the Minsk.